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ls of his escape from certain savages； as he had never mentioned them to a single soul。 Before he left I satisfied myself that his adventure and that invented by myself and described in the tale； which I had thought one of a somewhat original sort； were in every particular identical。
Again； in “Mr。 Meeson’s Will” I set out very fully indeed； the circumstances under which a new and splendid liner was lost at sea； and the great majority of those on board of her were drowned owing to lack of boats to acmodate them。 In a preface to this story； written in the year 1888； I make the following remark：
The only part of this humble skit； however； that is meant to be taken seriously is the chapter which tells of the loss of the R。M。S。 Kangaroo。 I believe it to be a fair and； in the main； accurate account of what must and one day will happen upon a large and crowded liner in the event of such a collision as that described； or of her rapid foundering from any other cause。 It is a remarkable thing that people who for the most part set a sufficient value on their lives； daily consent to go to sea in ships the boats of which could not on emergency possibly contain half their number。
During the present year this prophecy； and indeed the whole scene of the sinking of the Kangaroo； has been fearfully fulfilled in the instance of the great White Star liner Titanic。 If I could think of and foresee such things； how is it that those who are responsible for the public safety have proved themselves so lacking in prevision — that section of the Board of Trade； for instance； whose duty it is to attend to such matters？
I fear we must seek the answer in the character of our nation； whose peculiarity it is to ignore or underrate dangers that are not immediately visible； and therefore never be ready to meet them。 If anyone doubts this； let him study the history of our wars during the last sixty years or so； and even earlier。 The Crimea； the Abyssinian Expedition； the first Boer War； the Zulu War； the second Boer War； which was the child of the last two； the Egyptian Wars； have all told the same tale。 With the details of three of these I have been acquainted； and they are awful。 Only our wealth has brought us out of them — I will not say with honour； but in safety。 We declare proudly that “we always muddle through；” but this； after all； is a boast that only fits the lips of the inpetent。 What will happen when we are called upon to meet a nation； or nations； of equal or greater strength； that are petent？24 One can only hope for the best； and that the genius of our people； or of individuals among them； may carry us through in the future as it has done in the past。 Meanwhile we blunder on。 England； in lives and treasure； pays the bill out of her ample but not bottomless pocket； and everything ends in a rocket…burst of decorations conferred amid the shouts of the devotees of music…halls。
23 This was written in 1912； and has been lying in Messrs。 Longmans’ safe without the author having access to it since that date。 — Ed。
Probably the blame is to be laid at the door of our national lack of imagination： we cannot embody in our minds or provide against that of which we have had no recent experience。 We live from hand to mouth； and think more of the next elections than of our future as a people and a great Empire； refusing to bear those small burdens that would make us safe； and to support statesmen rather than politicians。 Any who point out these things are cried down as alarmists； or as persons seeking some personal or party end； since the petty and the mean always see their own colours reflected in the eyes of others。 Like the large farmer who confided to him his conviction that I was travelling on my tour of agricultural investigation through England in search of “free drinks；” these judge by their own low standards。 “Free drinks；” or their equivalent； is what they want； and therefore must be what you want； since otherwise why would anyone work for nothing？ And here es the sorrow。 The little minds； Shakespeare’s multitude who “suckle fools and chronicle small beer；” are in the vast majority。 They have the votes and give power to their chosen。 The rest are but voices crying in the wilderness。 Well； there it is； and doubtless God Almighty knows the way out。 At any rate； it must be a part of His plan； so why should we grumble？
Another small instance of imagination being justified in my own case is to be found in my tale； “Stella Fregelius；” where； for the purposes of that mystical story； I invented an instrument which I called the “aerophone；” whereby people could speak with each other across a space of empty air。 When I wrote this story； about the year 1898； neither I nor anyone else had heard of such a machine。 Now I learn that it is working and patented under the same title； namely； “aerophone；” and doubtless ere long it will be in general use。 It is right； however； that； per contra； I should chronicle a prophetic failure。 In “Doctor Therne” I ventured to suggest that our general neglect of vaccination would bring about some outburst of smallpox such as in past days swept away our forefathers by the thousand； and still sweeps away uninstructed peoples。 As yet this has not happened； but who can be bold enough to assert that it will never happen？
Perhaps the most curious example of a literary coincidence with which I have been personally concerned is to be found in the case of my story； “Fair Margaret。” As it is fully and concisely set out in the issue of the Spectator of October 19； 1907； I y letter published in that journal； leaving the reader to form his own opinion on the matter。
Sir； — The following instance of imagination being verified by fact may interest students of such matters。 Two years or so ago I wrote an historical romance which has recently appeared under the title of “Fair Margaret。” In that romance the name of the hero is Peter Brome。 The father of this Peter Brome is represented in the tale as having been killed at Bosworth Field。 After the appearance of the book I received a letter from Colonel Peter Brome Giles； the High Sheriff of Bucks； asking me where I obtained the particulars concerning the said Peter